[LED Xie's Xie's Bai Xiaosheng] How long can the red flag of LED be?

After the continuous price cuts of 5 years, 6 years, 7 years... (I can't remember exactly how many years). Our packaging industry has gone from being crazy to being crazy, and finally no longer "crazy".

Perhaps it is the standard of the time card, perhaps affecting some people. Bai Xiaosheng's first column (the details of the slamming reading) encourages the packaging sector to return to a reasonable profit, so that the industry can develop healthily; encourage lighting companies to take the lead and take the initiative to increase prices. (Of course, I also received some “spits” and “threats” from enterprises.) Later, this week, many packaging companies such as Xuyu, Zhaochi, Hongli, Smide, Jingke, and Guoxing have issued Price notice (pushing to read the details), how much courage is it? I feel the power of a strong man to cut the wrist.

Of course, during my visit this week, lighting companies have also increased their prices, ranging from 5% to 8%. This also proves that the customer is not completely unreasonable, and more depends on whether you have enough confidence in your product and brand.

Even the LED package has risen in price, and the industry seems to have ushered in a new spring. This has also triggered some of my thoughts, which is the theme of today - how long can the LED red flag last?

Some time ago, a topic was discussed at the annual meeting of the Institute of Advanced Engineering: How long can LEDs develop? Some people say that for 8 years, some say 10 years, and some even say that there are still 30 years.

My personal point of view is that LEDs will continue to develop, but the time as the fourth generation of light source is left to us.

Why do you say this? In fact, it is demonstrated by a "frightening principle."

Suppose that the old king (false name) was brought to the modern era from the eve of the industrial revolution in 1750, and it is necessary to know that it is an era without electricity, and it is basically dependent on the dog, and the communication is basically dependent on the age of communication. Seeing that we are on the road now, the iron box is running on the ground. The iron bird is flying in the sky. With a glowing board in hand, talking to people on the other side of the ocean, isn’t it scaring?

If you let the old king use the time machine to return to his industrial revolution more than 200 years ago, that is, the 16th century. The 16th century is the discovery of geography. The old king can tell the people of the 16th century. In the 18th century, people began to trade globally. The world is not only Europe and China. In the 16th century, people at the same time thought that Pharaoh’s cognition of the world was widened. A little bit, nothing more.

To get the effect of being "shocked", it was almost back to around 12000 BC. That was before the agricultural revolution, human beings did not have civilization. If Pharaoh said to people more than 12,000 years ago, you will see trains and boat trips in the future. They may think that Pharaoh’s brain is not very good.

If you want to go back to the previous era of quality flying, then you have to go back hundreds of thousands of years. At that time, human beings are also apes, no different from animals, do not know how to hunt, do not know how to use fire, and mammoths, dinosaurs. What, "they" may poke the pharaoh.

Sorry, a little bit around. Having said that, I want to express that the progress of human development is getting faster and faster.

Let's take a look at the history of lighting development: Beijing people 500,000 years ago discovered the use of fire. In 1879, Edison invented the light bulb. By 1978, Philips invented the energy-saving lamp, and in 1996, Nichia successfully made the white light. The time is hundreds of thousands of years to ninety-nine to ten years. How much time does the LED go to the next generation of light sources?

In recent days, many domestic enterprises have participated in the international LED exhibition in India, and it is natural that I do not need to elaborate. At present, the penetration rate of LED lighting products in the Indian market is still low. The Indian government is actively promoting the plan of efficient lighting, and its domestic demand is constantly improving.

It is said that the Indian market is the Chinese market more than a decade ago. According to the theory that my progressive speed is above, the outbreak of this market may come earlier than we expected. However, the market does not mean that it is good to do, or that sentence, "there is a correct understanding of the market, in order to get the return of the market."

North America and Europe need not say that other emerging markets include Thailand, Vietnam, Turkey, etc. The country is not big, but the local conditions can produce a lot of market and profits.

In addition, there are some new applications, LED candle lights for Korean gatherings, LED strips for models on the T-stage, LED flashes embedded in the camera, LED lighting and display for robots...

So run the brothers, and you can't see the wider world without a fight. Of course, the LED will not disappear, but will it exist in another form, and we don't know anyone. But in an industry such as LED, it must remain in a state of crisis, and this industry has only been in the last three years.

If this is the last 3 years of LED as the fourth generation of light source, what should you do? The industry's predecessors and the amnesty, what are they going to do? Share them with everyone at the 10th anniversary of the senior workers. 10th anniversary of senior engineer, no product promotion, only direction sharing! Add me WeChat, register with me, and inform me of your needs, whether it is the customer who is treated as a treatment, looking for various products, expecting to be acquired or wishing to acquire a certain Class companies.... Bai Xiaosheng will do his best to integrate for everyone.

Finally, let's say that there are 2 weeks left in the Golden Globe Awards, and you will vote for your excellent customers and excellent suppliers. Bai Xiaosheng is also brave enough to carry out the most troublesome voting method in history in order not to be brushed. I hope everyone can support and understand.

Every Monday, I am nonsense to everyone in this serious, and if you feel valuable, you are welcome to forward. If you are interested, you can also post a message below or add me to WeChat to share with you what you want to know and what you are interested in. If I was taken by the LED Jianghu Xie's Bai Xiaosheng column, I will cover you with a private letter.

Xie's Bai Xiaosheng----Xie Peng


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