British "reform" think tank: robots will promote the future employment structure change

A British think tank called “Reform” released a report on February 6, highlighting how the rapid development of science and technology could lead to robots replacing nearly 250,000 jobs in the UK’s public sector in the coming years. The report suggests that this shift could significantly cut operational costs and boost efficiency across government services.

The "Sunday Times" reported on February 5 that Karl Frei, an expert in automation and employment from the University of Oxford, warned that while low-skilled jobs are most at risk, many middle-income roles will also be affected in the next few decades. The Reform report focused on the public sector workforce, including administrative bodies, law enforcement, and educational institutions. It recommended using new technologies to improve efficiency and service quality. As AI and automation continue to evolve, more manual tasks are being taken over by machines, signaling a major transformation in the job market and employment landscape. According to Frei’s research, white-collar jobs with a 98% risk of being replaced include insurance adjusters, loan salespeople, and credit analysts. Middle-income roles facing an 80% risk include train drivers, auditors, accountants, and technical writers. Occupations with a 30–55% risk include judges, detectives, programmers, financial advisors, pilots, and economists. The Reform report emphasized that intelligent robots could handle a large number of daily tasks in government operations. It predicted that by 2030, up to 130,000 civil servants might be replaced, saving around £2.6 billion annually. However, some experts remain skeptical. UBS analysts argue that the idea of robots replacing large numbers of workers is exaggerated, noting that current robotic capabilities are not yet advanced enough to cause mass unemployment. Despite differing opinions, there is broad agreement that smart robots will reshape the job market. Hitchcock, a senior researcher at Reform, stressed that job losses are a sensitive issue requiring careful management. While the transition may spark debate, he believes the long-term goal is to make public services more efficient, safe, and intelligent.

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